Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #4
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 45.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 84.7%
Advance to State Finals 98.5%
Advance to Semi-State 99.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
10  Gabe Fendel 10 15:50
43  Bryce Barnett 12 16:18
99  Ian Leatherman 12 16:36
107  Ben Wagoner 11 16:38
139  Grant Wilson 9 16:44
190  Brayden Watson 11 16:55
243  Brendan Huckabee 11 17:04
250  Forrest Long 12 17:05
256  James Conaway 11 17:06
511  Joe Bergin 10 17:35
525  Josh LeCount 12 17:37
532  James Rathbun 9 17:37
642  Nathanael Cho 10 17:45
738  Eric Steinmetz 11 17:53
749  Zach Zuber 10 17:54
Brady Jarosinski 9 18:11
Emiliano Ibarra 9 18:18
Brady Jones 9 18:37
DateRace Rating
09/01 Hamilton County 199
09/12 Wildcat Classic 224
09/19 Flashrock Invitational 201
10/03 Hoosier Crossroads Conference 225
10/10 Noblesville Sectional 207
10/17 Noblesville Regional 239
10/24 Carmel Semi-State 232
10/31 State Finals 231




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.5% 6.4 228 2.9 9.6 10.8 11.4 10.8 10.2 8.6 8.4 6.5 5.6 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 99.2% 3.6 116 3.3 16.2 27.1 30.5 18.0 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.3 88 3.5 18.1 30.4 43.5 3.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.3 76 3.4 18.3 29.0 47.0 2.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100.0% 11.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 3.0 4.4 6.3 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.4 5.7 5.3 4.9 4.6 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.9 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 98.7% 100.0%
Bryce Barnett 98.7% 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 17.6% 85.6%
Ian Leatherman 98.5% 91.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0% 32.5%
Ben Wagoner 98.5% 94.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 27.0%
Grant Wilson 98.5% 110.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 12.5%
Brayden Watson 98.5% 130.8 0.0% 2.1%
Brendan Huckabee 98.5% 146.5 0.0% 0.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100% 3.7 0.1 3.9 25.6 27.8 16.2 9.8 5.8 3.4 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Bryce Barnett 100% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.0 3.6 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Ian Leatherman 99.7% 34.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.4 64.6% 98.2%
Ben Wagoner 99.7% 36.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.7 62.0% 97.6%
Grant Wilson 99.4% 45.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 25.3% 91.9%
Brayden Watson 99.3% 61.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 7.6% 70.1%
Brendan Huckabee 99.2% 76.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3% 40.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 100% 2.0 0.3 50.6 22.0 11.7 6.3 3.6 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bryce Barnett 100% 11.1 0.0 2.1 3.5 4.6 5.3 6.6 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.5 4.7 4.4 4.3 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 100.0%
Ian Leatherman 100% 22.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.3 4.1 4.3 5.1 5.2 5.9 6.1 6.9 6.0 6.2 100.0%
Ben Wagoner 100% 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.5 5.3 5.0 6.1 6.4 6.8 6.5 100.0%
Grant Wilson 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.1 4.0 4.4 5.4 5.4 100.0%
Brayden Watson 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.5 2.1 100.0%
Brendan Huckabee 100% 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Fendel 1.8 0.2 58.9 20.5 9.5 4.5 2.5 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Bryce Barnett 9.9 0.0 3.3 5.4 6.1 7.4 6.9 7.3 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.4 6.4 5.8 5.4 4.7 3.9 3.1 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ian Leatherman 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.7 5.6 5.9 7.2 7.3 8.6 8.9 8.5 7.2 6.1 4.6
Ben Wagoner 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.2 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.8 6.1 7.5 7.9 8.8 8.6 8.2 7.1 6.0
Grant Wilson 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.9 3.5 4.5 5.4 7.3 8.5 9.4 10.0 9.4
Brayden Watson 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.8 4.4 5.8 8.0
Brendan Huckabee 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.6